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State Rank #125
New Haven Regional Rank #25
Delta Sectional Rank #7
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 0.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Bob Dahl Invitational Taylor University Opener Taylor University Invitational Marion Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational South Adams Invitational New Haven Classic Allen County Athletic Conf. Delta Sectional New Haven Regional
Date 8/18 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 986 980 1,013 984 1,045 1,214 956 1,169 1,190
Team Adjusted Rating 980 1,013 965 1,045 993 897 1,016 990 987
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Bob Dahl Invitational Taylor University Opener Taylor University Invitational Marion Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational South Adams Invitational New Haven Classic Allen County Athletic Conf. Delta Sectional New Haven Regional
235  Trevor Schwartz 12 17:00 18:17 16:57 17:46 17:04 17:14 17:29 16:49 17:26 17:00 16:43 17:34
413  Ethan Crockett 11 17:28 18:19 17:26 17:37 17:08 17:29 17:47 17:15 17:13 17:21 17:30 17:38
1,311  Reid Gerber 9 18:53 18:53 18:36 18:43 19:13
Bryson Edgell 12 19:29 20:32 19:57 19:52 19:47 19:09 19:04 18:59 19:41 19:32 21:33
Alex Alana 9 19:33 19:29 19:10 20:03 19:38 19:40 19:16
Tyler Schwartz 10 19:36 19:24 19:35 19:36 19:39 19:16 19:18 21:10 19:59
Vince Laukhuf 12 21:52 21:32 21:30 22:03 20:58 20:52 21:52 22:29 21:37 22:17 22:12
Trevor Chamberlain 9 22:17 23:11 22:52 24:18 23:34 22:42 22:02 22:01 21:54




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 0.0%
Sectionals 100% 7.4 165 0.9 4.4 13.7 26.0 43.4 11.4 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Trevor Schwartz 40.1% 170.4 40.1% 40.1%
Ethan Crockett 0.4% 204.0 0.4% 0.4%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Trevor Schwartz 100% 32.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.3 1.4 2.0 2.4 2.7 3.2 3.4 100.0% 100.0%
Ethan Crockett 100% 53.3 0.0 0.1 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Trevor Schwartz 3.1 11.2 17.5 19.8 19.0 16.6 7.0 5.5 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0
Ethan Crockett 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 3.1 8.8 10.4 15.1 17.7 17.4 12.4 7.6 3.5 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0